It's quite obvious that investors or traders trade in order to lose money. What would be the point in that? If you're an investor or a trader, you will be looking to make a profit. And in order to do so, it is essential to compare the potential returns over different time spans of different instruments. In that effort, calculating bond yields is of the utmost importance. Basically the most general meaning of bond yields is the amount of money returned (usually annually) that has been expressed as a percentage of the initial investment.
Two common things you need to know about trading with bonds are Current Yields and Yield To Maturity:
1. Current Yield
Estimating the current bond yield simple. All you have to do is to divide the annual interest amount paid by the current market price. CY = IA/P*100. (The 100 turns the fraction into a percentage.) For example: A $1000 face-value (par) bond with a coupon (interest rate) of 7% that matures in 10 years may sell currently at a discount for $950.
The current yield is then,
$1000 x 0.07 = $70 per year in interest
$70/$950 x 100 = 7.37%
Notice how the bond yield is a little higher than the nominal interest rate? This is obviously because of the discounted price of the bond.
This simple calculation allows comparisons between bonds of similar credit risk and maturity. But, the example assumes the holder bought at par and held to maturity. Taking into account potential capital gains, to arrive at the Adjusted Current Yield is also easy:
ACY = [(IA/P) x 100] + [(Par Value – P)/10]/Years Until Maturity
(Be sure to perform the subtraction first, before dividing, in the last term.)
So, [($70/$950) x 100] + [($1000-$950)/10]/10 = 7.87%, where the capital gains added half a percent to the overall yield. (Remember the yields are annualized, so this is the percentage one would gain each year.)
2. Yield To Maturity
The sample calculation above shows the return on the bond today, but ignores the time value of money. Would you rather have $1000 today or $1000 a year from now, even assuming you're assured of getting paid in a year? Do keep in mind that having $1000 sooner rather than later means earning interest on that for an additional year.
Accounting for that fact is straight-forward, by using a value called Yield To Maturity. The formula looks daunting but fortunately calculators for estimating it are readily available on the Internet.
Suppose again that a bond is selling for $950, and has a coupon rate of 7%. It has 4 years left until it matures, and the par value is $1000. What's the YTM, Yield To Maturity? Plugging the values into the calculator produces YTM = 8.53%, substantially higher than the previous estimates.
For those interested in the mathematics the formula is:
YTM is the best number to use when comparing bonds with different rates and maturity dates. With a little practice, the process becomes familiar and loses the aura of numerology.